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Landscheidt on ENSOs

Science
By johnnyc, Section Internet

Posted on Fri May 3rd, 2002 at 11:31:14 EDT
Dr Theodor Landscheidt has an in-depth article entitled "El Niño Forecast Revisited".

This a fascinating article that gives us some background on his 1999 paper Solar Activity Controls El Niño and La Niña. He discusses the original theory behind his prediction, criticisms from other scientists, and why the current models in place fail to accurately predict El Niño-type events, also known as "El Niño/Southern Oscillation", or ENSOs.

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This is a fairly technical article. He discusses how the current trend in "official science" with respect to predicting ENSOs is inadequate, since it fails to take into account overall solar activity as a factor in triggerring the events. It has been Dr. Landscheidt's assertion that solar activity is the major indicator of ENSOs, and that the current methods of using precursor data to predict these events are not reliable.

Landscheidt claims that if his latest forecast proves correct, which would appear to be the case, it "...would be the third successful El Niño forecast in a row. The second one had a lead time of 2 years." Apparently, his solar activity based model is a more accurate method for predicting El Niños and El Niñas, and has the longest lead time.

One wonders if it will make any difference to those scientists who regard solar activity as a non-starter in predicting ENSOs. It might take many more successes for Landscheidt's theory to take root in the scientific establishment.

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Related Links
· "El Niño Forecast Revisited"
· Solar Activity Controls El Niño and La Niña
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Landscheidt on ENSOs | 1 comment (1 topical, 0 editorial, 0 pending)
John ( none / 0 ) (#1)
by Anonymous Hero on Wed Jun 5th, 2002 at 09:03:28 EDT

Answer my mails
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-Mujo



Landscheidt on ENSOs | 1 comment (1 topical, 0 editorial, 0 pending)
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